The Bank of England Predicts the Worst Recession–in 300 Years

Professor of Law : Georgetown University, and Director, Institute of International Economic Law

The Bank of England Predicts the Worst Recession--in 300 Years

Image Courtesy of © Heritage Images/Getty Images

In a new report from the Financial Times, The Bank of England has forecast that the coronavirus crisis will push the UK economy into its deepest recession in 300 years, with output plunging almost 30 per cent in the first half of the year, but it decided not to launch a new stimulus.

According to the FT, the BoE presented in its latest  monetary policy report a series of predictions for the economy, suggesting that the country’s output would slip 3 per cent in the first quarter followed by a further 25 per cent fall in the second. This would mean an almost 30 per cent drop overall in the first half of 2020, the fastest and deepest recession since the “great frost” in 1709.

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A New Take on the History of the Bank for International Settlements

Professor of Law : Georgetown University, and Director, Institute of International Economic Law

A New Take on the History of the Bank for International Settlements

Dr. Chris Brummer, speaks in a suit with a white backdrop on the topic of Fintech

Minilateralism author Chris Brummer has released a new essay, written on the occasion of the 90th anniversary of the creation of the Bank for International Settlements, offering a new take on the Bank for International Settlements and the evolution of soft law in Finance.  In “A Theory of Everything” Professor Brummer argues that soft law’s origins in financial regulation lay in the particular institutional evolution of the BIS prior to the articulation of bank capital standards.

Specifically, Professor Brummer argues that institutional innovations tied with the Bank’s navigation of the politics and economic particularities of World War I reparations would enable the informality and expert-driven systems that would one day characterise today’s modern ‘Basel Process’ of technocratic decision-making. Furthermore, soft law, far from being an entirely radical break with the economic diplomacy of the times, was in fact merely the next step in an evolution of the Bank that in its deployment would not only enhance the credibility of non-binding understandings and accords in international economic diplomacy, but also help to solidify and elevate the very stature of the BIS.   For more, see the draft essay on SSRN.

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Hamilton vs. Satoshi

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Mark Carney criticizes reliance on US dollar, suggests possibility of multilateral digital asset

Professor of Law : Georgetown University, and Director, Institute of International Economic Law

Mark Carney criticizes reliance on US dollar, suggests possibility of multilateral digital asset

Mark Carney stands pensively in dark suit while listening to woman speak at economic  symposium
Image provided by Bloomberg.com

The Bank of England’s governor, Mark Carney, the Bank of England governor, has said that the world’s reliance on the US dollar “won’t hold” and needs to be replaced by a new international monetary and financial system based on many more global currencies.   Part of the solution could come from a multilateral digital currency.  The Financial Times story is here.

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Minilateralism’s Author Discusses Libra, Facebook’s Proposed Global Cryptocurrency

Professor of Law : Georgetown University, and Director, Institute of International Economic Law

Minilateralism's Author Discusses Libra, Facebook's Proposed Global Cryptocurrency

Screenshot of Facebook webpage  providing overview of cryptocurrency Libra
From Georgetown Law: Professor Chris Brummer, the faculty director of Georgetown Law’s Institute of International Economic Law, testified on the Hill on July 17, raising concerns about a white paper describing Facebook’s cryptocurrency Libra.

On July 17, 2019, Georgetown Law Professor Chris Brummer — the faculty director of the Institute of International Economic Law (IIEL) and author of Minilateralism — testified before the House Financial Services Committee with respect to Libra, Facebook’s proposed cryptocurrency. The hearing was chaired by Rep. Maxine Waters (D-CA) and Ranking Member Patrick McHenry (R-NC).

The hearing can be found here.  The written testimony can be found here.  Georgetown’s coverage is here.

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Professor Brummer Delivers Talk at the Bank of England

Professor of Law : Georgetown University, and Director, Institute of International Economic Law

Professor Brummer Delivers Talk at the Bank of England

A staircase within the bank of England, where Professor Chris Brummer delivered his remarks

Minilateralism’s author, Chris Brummer, delivered a talk at a conference sponsored by the Bank of England and Queen Mary’s Centre for Commercial Law Studies exploring regulatory perimeter, cross-border dimension and virtual currencies.

Professor Brummer’s remarks centered on the tradeoffs involved in the regulation–and deregulation–of financial innovation, and the challenges posed to international financial coordination.

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